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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 41.6% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most run-oriented team in football has been the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • This week, Sam Darnold is projected by the model to accumulate the 2nd-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.4.
  • After comprising 10.9% of his offense's run game usage last season, Sam Darnold has been less involved in the ground game this season, currently accounting for just 5.3%.
  • Sam Darnold's 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a substantial regression in his rushing talent over last season's 14.0 rate.

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