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Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 46.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The San Francisco defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The model projects Sam Darnold to accrue 2.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Sam Darnold has been much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (5.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.9%).

Sam Darnold has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (14.0).

Sam Darnold has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 1.07 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18