My Account Log Out
 
 
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 45.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This year, the fierce Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a meager 4.82 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 23rd-best rate in the league.
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 4th-worst LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the projections to garner the 6th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 2.3.
  • Sam Darnold has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this year (4.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.9%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™