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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/+119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -186 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • This week, Sam Darnold is anticipated by our trusted projection set to notch the 6th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.2.
  • Sam Darnold has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this season (4.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).
  • Sam Darnold's 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a meaningful diminishment in his running skills over last year's 14.0 mark.
  • The Rams defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering just 3.94 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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