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Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack in this week's contest (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).

Sam Darnold's ground effectiveness has improved this season, averaging 6.93 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.20 mark last season.

This year, the shaky Atlanta Falcons run defense has yielded a massive 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Sam Darnold to accumulate 2.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Sam Darnold's 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a meaningful diminishment in his running proficiency over last season's 14.0 mark.

With a lousy tally of 0.86 yards-after-contact (19th percentile), Sam Darnold stands among the worst rushing QBs in football this year.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14