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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Sam Darnold's 6.90 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year represents a noteable boost in his running prowess over last year's 5.20 figure.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (132 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to notch 2.1 carries in this week's game, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Sam Darnold has been much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this season (3.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.9%).

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