My Account Log Out
 
 
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.2% run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals run defense has given up a mere 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 23rd-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • This week, Sam Darnold is predicted by the predictive model to total the 6th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.3.
  • Sam Darnold has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this season (2.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).
  • Sam Darnold's 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a material drop-off in his running skills over last season's 14.0 mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™