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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-102/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 217.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 228.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Sam Darnold's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a significant growth in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.2% rate.

With a remarkable 8.57 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places among the best per-play quarterbacks in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.

Sam Darnold has attempted just 19.7 passes per game this year, ranking in the 19th percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Sam Darnold's 159.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a material diminishment in his passing ability over last year's 256.0 mark.

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