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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 226.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 231.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an excellent 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.
  • With an impressive 8.21 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in football.
  • This year, the weak New England Patriots defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • This week, Sam Darnold is predicted by the model to have the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.8.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.

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