Sam Darnold Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Sam Darnold

NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 20, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2026 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-107/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 214.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to call just 63.5 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
The model projects Sam Darnold to throw 32.0 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

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