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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 221.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 222.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With a remarkable 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold rates as one of the most accurate QBs in football.
  • With an excellent 8.44 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been as one of the most effective QBs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • In this contest, Sam Darnold is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.1.

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