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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-105/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -196 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Sam Darnold is positioned as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 8.27 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Sam Darnold's 202.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a noteable regression in his throwing talent over last season's 256.0 mark.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (68.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Rams pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, allowing 7.29 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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