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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-103/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 234.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 228.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Sam Darnold's 69.8% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year's 66.2% mark.
  • Sam Darnold ranks as one of the most efficient passers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 8.81 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 100th percentile.
  • The Vikings safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 30.5 passes this week, on balance: the fewest out of all QBs.

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