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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 241.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Sam Darnold's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful improvement in his throwing precision over last season's 66.2% mark.
  • With a stellar 8.90 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the NFL.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in football vs. the Titans defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Titans pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-most in the NFL.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's group of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a big 12.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 49.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 29.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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