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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Interceptions
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Sam Darnold has logged 0.89 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 14th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • The Vikings have intercepted 0.30 targets per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
  • The Vikings safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 30.5 passes this week, on balance: the fewest out of all QBs.

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