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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.2% to 71.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Sam Darnold has attempted a measly 24.2 passes per game this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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