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Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 46.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The San Francisco defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The model projects Sam Darnold to accrue 2.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Sam Darnold has been much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (5.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.9%).

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold CarriesPlayer Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 18