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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • This week, Sam Darnold is anticipated by our trusted projection set to notch the 6th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.2.
  • Sam Darnold has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this season (4.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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