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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Seahawks are a massive favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 49.2% of their chances: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's unit has been lousy this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by our trusted projection set to garner the 7th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 2.2.
  • Sam Darnold has been a much smaller part of his team's run game this season (3.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).

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