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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack in this week's contest (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Atlanta's DT corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Sam Darnold to accumulate 2.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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