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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-176/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -168 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -176.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack in this week's contest (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Atlanta's DT corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Sam Darnold to accumulate 2.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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