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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.4% run rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Sam Darnold is predicted by the projections to accrue the 7th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.0.
  • Sam Darnold has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this year (3.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.9%).

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