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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.2% run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • This week, Sam Darnold is predicted by the predictive model to total the 6th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.3.
  • Sam Darnold has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this season (2.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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