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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+119/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

Right now, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's unit has been awful last year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.

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