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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +196 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused team in football in the red zone (58.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

The Seahawks defense has been torched for the 10th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.36 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the model to call just 61.8 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.

The model projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.3 passes this week, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.

The Titans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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