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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+112/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (10.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
  • The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Tennessee Titans have utilized some form of misdirection on 50.7% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
  • Ryan Tannehill has run for significantly fewer yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
  • Ryan Tannehill's running effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling just 3.35 yards-per-carry vs a 6.36 mark last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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