Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+112/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (10.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
The Tennessee Titans have utilized some form of misdirection on 50.7% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
Ryan Tannehill has run for significantly fewer yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
Ryan Tannehill's running effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling just 3.35 yards-per-carry vs a 6.36 mark last season.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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