Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 316.5 (+929/-5004).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 205.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 316.5 @ +929.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the best per-play QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.98 yards-per-target while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in the league against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season (72.7%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.1 passes this week, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Ryan Tannehill's passing precision has declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.5% to 59.5%.