Ryan Tannehill Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.

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