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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders defense has been torched for the 5th-most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.71 per game last year.

The Washington cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst CB corps in the NFL last year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense last year: 3rd-fewest in football.

The New York O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Washington Commanders defense last year (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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