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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

While Russell Wilson has accounted for 11.6% of his team's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's running game in this contest at 17.8%.

Russell Wilson's 5.76 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a material progression in his rushing talent over last year's 4.89 figure.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's group of DTs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6-point underdog this week.

The model projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Since the start of last season, the poor Chiefs run defense has yielded a monstrous 4.11 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 29th-biggest rate in football.

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