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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the New York Giants since the start of last season (a massive 58.7 per game on average).

While Russell Wilson has received 11.4% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New York's running game in this game at 18.6%.

Since the start of last season, the poor Dallas Cowboys run defense has conceded a massive 140.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Giants to run on 40.3% of their plays: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.3 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Dallas's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, grading out as the best in the league.

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