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Russell Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Russell Wilson
QB · Denver Broncos
Rushing Yards
Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC
NFL Props Russell Wilson Rushing Yards

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -133.

Favors Over
  • The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (13.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.0% in games he has played).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most yards in the league (144 per game) against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.
  • The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
Favors Under
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
  • The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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