Russell Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2025

Updated Sep 7, 2025 5:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 218.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 214.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst CB corps in the NFL last year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense last year: 3rd-fewest in football.
The New York O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Last year, the strong Commanders defense has allowed a mere 191.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-best in football.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Washington Commanders defense last year (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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