Russell Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Passing Yards

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 224.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
Russell Wilson's 68.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable improvement in his passing accuracy over last season's 59.3% figure.
This year, the feeble Houston Texans defense has allowed a whopping 265.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 6th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
The Texans cornerbacks rank as the 8th-best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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