Russell Wilson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Pass Attempts

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
In this contest, Russell Wilson is expected by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.0.

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