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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+109/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.

The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

The Denver Broncos O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Russell Wilson has averaged just 0.47 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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