Russell Wilson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 41.4% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league has been the Broncos.
The projections expect Russell Wilson to garner 5.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.
Russell Wilson isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 16.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Detroit's group of DEs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

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