Royce Freeman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Royce Freeman

NFL · Player Props

Royce Freeman

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Royce Freeman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Rams defense this year, averaging 27.01 seconds per play.
Royce Freeman has garnered 40.2% of his team's rushing play calls last year, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
This year, the anemic Steelers run defense has given up a whopping 143.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers rank as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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