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Royce Freeman

Royce Freeman Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Royce Freeman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 135.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The Rams have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • Royce Freeman's 4.3 adjusted yards per carry this season marks a meaningful gain in his rushing proficiency over last season's 2.9 figure.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • While Royce Freeman has received 31.9% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's rushing attack in this week's game at 15.1%.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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