Royce Freeman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Royce Freeman

NFL · Player Props

Royce Freeman

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Royce Freeman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With an excellent record of 59.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (83rd percentile), Royce Freeman places as one of the best pure rushers in football this year.
Royce Freeman's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 2.93 figure last year.
The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 23rd-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
While Royce Freeman has been responsible for 46.2% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's running game in this game at 26.5%.
This year, the weak Browns run defense has been torched for a colossal 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 23rd-biggest rate in football.

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