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Royce Freeman

Royce Freeman Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Royce Freeman Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Arizona's group of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Rams as the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Our trusted projections expect Royce Freeman to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game in this contest (26.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.1% in games he has played).

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