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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.

The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

This week, Roschon Johnson is anticipated by the model to land in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.

With an exceptional 9.0% Target Share (75th percentile) this year, Roschon Johnson has been among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.

Roschon Johnson ranks as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 4.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.

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