Rondale Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
This year, the deficient Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a monstrous 197.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 5.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (55.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Rondale Moore has notched quite a few less air yards this season (9.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
Rondale Moore's 20.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 46.6.