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Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Romeo Doubs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -270.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an extraordinary 23.8% Red Zone Target Share (91st percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs stands among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.
  • As it relates to air yards, Romeo Doubs ranks in the towering 79th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a monstrous 69.0 per game.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.33 per game through the air (81st percentile), Romeo Doubs stands as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to wideouts this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Chicago Bears defense has been torched for the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 1.29 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 51.1% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league in these cases has been the Packers.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Romeo Doubs's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 68.3% to 64.3%.
  • The Chicago defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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