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Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Romeo Doubs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Romeo Doubs has run a route on 85.0% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Bengals linebackers project as the 6th-worst LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The model projects the Packers to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

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