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Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets

Romeo Doubs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-230).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) vs. WRs this year (68.8%).

The New York Jets defense has given up the 6th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.20 per game this year.

The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.

The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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