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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accrue 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Robert Woods has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.9% this year, which ranks him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Robert Woods's play as a receiver has diminished this year, accumulating just 3.0 yards per game compared to 4.9 last year.

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