Robert Woods Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accrue 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Robert Woods has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.9% this year, which ranks him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Robert Woods's play as a receiver has diminished this year, accumulating just 3.0 yards per game compared to 4.9 last year.

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