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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3.5 points.

With a feeble 58.1% Adjusted Catch% (15th percentile) since the start of last season, Robert Woods has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

With a weak 6.5 adjusted yards per target (8th percentile) since the start of last season, Robert Woods has been among the bottom WRs in the game in the league.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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