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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Texans to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Robert Woods's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 56.9% to 64.1%.

The Chargers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against wideouts this year, giving up 8.40 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

Robert Woods's 31.3% Route Participation Rate this year shows a significant decrease in his passing attack volume over last year's 74.3% rate.

After accruing 51.0 air yards per game last season, Robert Woods has posted significant losses this season, now averaging 18.0 per game.

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.

Robert Woods's 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 35.0 rate.

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