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Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Texans have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Robert Woods's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 56.9% to 62.8%.Robert Woods's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this year, notching 4.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.15 mark last year.This year, the deficient Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 5.31 YAC.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 8-point advantage, the Texans are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their normal approach.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.Robert Woods has gone out for fewer passes this year (29.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (74.3%).After averaging 51.0 air yards per game last season, Robert Woods has seen a big decline this season, currently boasting 14.0 per game.
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