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Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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After totaling 51.0 air yards per game last year, Robert Woods has significantly declined this year, now averaging 13.0 per game.The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.Robert Woods's 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a remarkable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 35.0 rate.This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 7.4 yards.As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been fantastic this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
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